V-Lab
Tenaris SA Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
334.35
decreased by 16.65
1 Week
358.72
increased by 7.72
1 Month
384.12
increased by 33.12
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 17, 2002 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 198 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 249% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7408 | 2.25** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0304 | 3.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9282 | 147.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0757 | 4.04*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
198 days
Other Tenaris SA Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities