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Tenaris SA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

406.31

decreased by 21.95

1 Week

401.02

decreased by 27.24

1 Month

374.54

decreased by 53.72

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tenaris SA ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 17, 2002 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

111
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0719
8.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9183
333.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0036
0.16
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
4.07***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9947
6.45***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.10

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

86 days