V-Lab
Tenaris SA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
330.74
1 Week
341.56
1 Month
353.15
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 17, 2002 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 85 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 111 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0716 | 12.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9185 | 152.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0035 | 0.37 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.54 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9940 | 48.68*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
85 days
Other Tenaris SA Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities