3M India Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
104.75
1 Week
109.17
1 Month
120.32
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1604 | 13.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8584 | 311.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0934 | -6.64*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.32 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9987 |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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