Zhejiang Daily Digital Culture Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
93.47
1 Week
93.37
1 Month
99.13
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 4, 1993 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 462098 trading days (~1833.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2028 | 0.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8215 | 0.43 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0486 | -0.05 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 274,026.4000 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
462098 days
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