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Zhejiang Daily Digital Culture Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

104.05

increased by 3.45

1 Week

100.49

decreased by 0.11

1 Month

89.35

decreased by 11.25

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 06:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Zhejiang Daily Digital Culture Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 4, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3767 trading days (~14.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1670
4.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1756
5.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8242
24.27***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.0827
-0.74
γ20.1371
0.58
γ3-0.2836
-0.90
γ40.5375
1.65*
γ5-0.4881
-2.29**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3767 days