V-Lab
Zhejiang Daily Digital Culture Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
104.05
increased by 3.45
1 Week
100.49
decreased by 0.11
1 Month
89.35
decreased by 11.25
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 06:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 4, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3767 trading days (~14.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1670 | 4.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1756 | 5.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8242 | 24.27*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -0.0827 | -0.74 |
| γ2 | 0.1371 | 0.58 |
| γ3 | -0.2836 | -0.90 |
| γ4 | 0.5375 | 1.65* |
| γ5 | -0.4881 | -2.29** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3767 days
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