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Polytronics Technology Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

238.84

increased by 17.69

1 Week

213.58

decreased by 7.57

1 Month

262.72

increased by 41.57

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Polytronics Technology Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 457 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~457 days
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow71
αARCH0.1577
18.09***
βGARCH0.8453
103.58***
γleverage-0.0092
-1.46
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0003
0.24
λ₃tau persistence0.9993
587.50***

0.998

Persistence

457d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1577
18.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8453
103.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0092
-1.46
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0003
0.24
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9993
587.50***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

457 days