Polytronics Technology Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
355.36
1 Week
411.55
1 Month
398.29
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1508 | 1.40 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8533 | 150.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1508 | -1.42 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.7336 | 1.89* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9524 | 99.08*** |
Persistence:
0.929
Half-life:
9 days
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