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Polytronics Technology Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

706.37

decreased by 135.03

1 Week

894.38

increased by 52.98

1 Month

1,284.63

increased by 443.23

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Polytronics Technology Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5458 trading days (~21.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9367
2.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2119
1.67*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7880
6.25***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-7.8941
-1.29
γ214.9138
1.22
γ3-9.6426
-1.11
γ42.5361
0.98
γ50.1192
0.31
γ6-0.0398
-0.14
γ7-0.2218
-0.78
γ80.6326
1.84*
γ9-0.5334
-1.13
γ10-0.1384
-0.25

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

5458 days