V-Lab
3M India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
94.00
decreased by 6.24
1 Week
88.66
decreased by 11.58
1 Month
86.53
decreased by 13.71
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7971 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1528 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8472 |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 0.6146 | |
| γ2 | -0.9278 | |
| γ3 | 0.1070 | |
| γ4 | 0.2441 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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