3M India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
148.20
decreased by 26.61
1 Week
182.86
increased by 8.05
1 Month
164.06
decreased by 10.75
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115524 trading days (~458.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~115524 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6097 | 0.02 |
| αARCH | 0.1699 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8301 | 0.01 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -0.6344 | -0.01 |
| γ2 | 0.7479 | 0.01 |
| γ3 | -0.1086 | -0.01 |
| γ4 | -0.0921 | -0.01 |
| γ5 | 0.1975 | 0.04 |
| γ6 | -0.1832 | -0.02 |
1.000
Persistence115524d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6097 | 0.02 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1699 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8301 | 0.01 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -0.6344 | -0.01 |
| γ2 | 0.7479 | 0.01 |
| γ3 | -0.1086 | -0.01 |
| γ4 | -0.0921 | -0.01 |
| γ5 | 0.1975 | 0.04 |
| γ6 | -0.1832 | -0.02 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
115524 days
Other 3M India Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities