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3M India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

148.20

decreased by 26.61

1 Week

182.86

increased by 8.05

1 Month

164.06

decreased by 10.75

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of 3M India Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 26, 1997 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115524 trading days (~458.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~115524 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6097
0.02
αARCH0.1699
0.00
βGARCH0.8301
0.01
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.6344
-0.01
γ20.7479
0.01
γ3-0.1086
-0.01
γ4-0.0921
-0.01
γ50.1975
0.04
γ6-0.1832
-0.02

1.000

Persistence

115524d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6097
0.02
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1699
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8301
0.01
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.6344
-0.01
γ20.7479
0.01
γ3-0.1086
-0.01
γ4-0.0921
-0.01
γ50.1975
0.04
γ6-0.1832
-0.02

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

115524 days