3M India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
109.14
increased by 8.56
1 Week
108.64
increased by 8.06
1 Month
110.80
increased by 10.22
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 12:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2625 trading days (~10.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1005 | 5.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1476 | 12.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8521 | 70.95*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.2491 | -4.79*** |
| γ2 | 0.3910 | 4.75*** |
| γ3 | -0.4004 | -4.09*** |
| γ4 | 0.7398 | 3.78*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2625 days
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