V-Lab
3M India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
88.10
decreased by 11.59
1 Week
108.01
increased by 8.32
1 Month
102.32
increased by 2.63
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173286 trading days (~687.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9088 | 0.03 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1347 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8653 | 0.03 |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | 0.1028 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | -0.2177 | -0.05 |
| γ3 | 0.0919 | 0.00 |
| γ4 | 0.0345 | 0.00 |
| γ5 | 0.0234 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
173286 days
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