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Yamashin-Filter Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

94.71

decreased by 3.72

1 Week

90.15

decreased by 8.28

1 Month

90.01

decreased by 8.42

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yamashin-Filter Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2014 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 160 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1422
11.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8496
193.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0077
0.28
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.45
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9727
0.44
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

160 days