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Yamashin-Filter Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

87.11

increased by 21.08

1 Week

73.90

increased by 7.87

1 Month

85.99

increased by 19.96

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Yamashin-Filter Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2014 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 288 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1431
10.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8504
362.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0080
0.27
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
8.40***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9953
9.83***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

288 days