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Yamashin-Filter Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

104.54

decreased by 16.76

1 Week

111.55

decreased by 9.75

1 Month

92.41

decreased by 28.89

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Yamashin-Filter Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 473 trading days (~1.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1323
4.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8580
315.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0165
0.24
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
3.88***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
4.03***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

473 days