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Stakk Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

356,225.20

decreased by 8,892.80

1 Week

371,792.32

increased by 6,674.32

1 Month

421,284.46

increased by 56,166.46

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Stakk Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2004 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0000
0.00
αARCH0.0025
0.29
βGARCH0.9679
185.59***
γleverage0.0594
0.49

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0025
0.29
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9679
185.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0594
0.49

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days