Skip to main content
V-Lab

Stakk Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

705,624.60

increased by 672,636.93

1 Week

180,296.21

increased by 147,308.54

1 Month

113,484.28

increased by 80,496.61

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Stakk Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1547 trading days (~6.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9757
1.97**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1451
5.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8544
31.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.0010
0.00
γ21.9429
0.13
γ3-8.2283
-1.78*
γ410.1868
3.54***
γ51.7930
0.46
γ6-15.7080
-3.77***
γ718.1579
6.52***
γ8-10.7820
-5.39***
γ90.6757
0.36
γ10-2.6895
-0.32

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1547 days