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V-Lab

Net Insight AB Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

22,370.10

increased by 39.50

1 Week

23,359.55

increased by 1,028.95

1 Month

15,763.90

decreased by 6,566.70

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:02 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Net Insight AB ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 7, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 998 trading days (~4.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1167
7.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1193
16.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8800
118.46***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0039
-1.18

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

998 days