V-Lab
Net Insight AB Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
22,370.10
increased by 39.50
1 Week
23,359.55
increased by 1,028.95
1 Month
15,763.90
decreased by 6,566.70
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 7, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 998 trading days (~4.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1167 | 7.31*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1193 | 16.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8800 | 118.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0039 | -1.18 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
998 days
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