V-Lab
Net Insight AB Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
9,526.71
decreased by 312.75
1 Week
10,713.48
increased by 874.02
1 Month
10,232.00
increased by 392.54
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 7, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1019 trading days (~4.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1104 | 7.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1188 | 16.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8805 | 118.95*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0041 | -1.23 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1019 days
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