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V-Lab

Net Insight AB Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

9,526.71

decreased by 312.75

1 Week

10,713.48

increased by 874.02

1 Month

10,232.00

increased by 392.54

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Net Insight AB ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 7, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1019 trading days (~4.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1104
7.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1188
16.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8805
118.95***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0041
-1.23

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1019 days