Net Insight AB ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026
1 Day
11,882.92
1 Week
10,260.15
1 Month
10,762.89
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 10:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 7, 1999 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1236 | 0.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8798 | 423.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1236 | -0.05 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9774 | 11.53*** |
Persistence:
0.942
Half-life:
12 days
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