V-Lab
GD Power Development Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
17.23
1 Week
19.78
1 Month
18.35
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 18, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 59 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 59 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1895 | 1.86* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7911 | 68.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0156 | 0.08 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9989 | 817.47*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
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