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GD Power Development Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

14.22

decreased by 1.04

1 Week

15.45

increased by 0.19

1 Month

16.63

increased by 1.37

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of GD Power Development Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 18, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 408 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 144% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~408 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 144% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1109
1.29
αARCH0.0548
3.73***
βGARCH0.9039
113.96***
γleverage0.0792
3.52***

0.998

Persistence

408d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1109
1.29
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0548
3.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9039
113.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0792
3.52***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

408 days