V-Lab
Net Insight AB Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
11,399.02
decreased by 104.11
1 Week
12,682.79
increased by 1,179.66
1 Month
11,550.48
increased by 47.35
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 7, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 423 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 197% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.28 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0498 | 19.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8995 | 584.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0981 | 15.19*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
423 days
Other Net Insight AB Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities