V-Lab
Net Insight AB Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
18,505.13
decreased by 789.79
1 Week
19,425.13
increased by 130.21
1 Month
14,516.61
decreased by 4,778.31
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:01 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 7, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 507 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 189% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.29 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0515 | 19.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8985 | 580.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0973 | 14.95*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
507 days
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