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V-Lab

Net Insight AB Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

18,505.13

decreased by 789.79

1 Week

19,425.13

increased by 130.21

1 Month

14,516.61

decreased by 4,778.31

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:01 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Net Insight AB ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 7, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 507 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 189% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.29
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0515
19.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8985
580.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0973
14.95***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

507 days