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Net Insight AB Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

11,399.02

decreased by 104.11

1 Week

12,682.79

increased by 1,179.66

1 Month

11,550.48

increased by 47.35

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Net Insight AB ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 7, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 423 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 197% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.28
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0498
19.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8995
584.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0981
15.19***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

423 days