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Hongmian Zhihui Science And Technology Innovation Co Ltd Guangzhou Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

127.34

decreased by 6.64

1 Week

149.81

increased by 15.83

1 Month

195.56

increased by 61.58

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hongmian Zhihui Science And Technology Innovation Co Ltd Guangzhou ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 1993 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 898 trading days (~3.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0974
4.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2451
17.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7542
52.68***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.1315
-0.79
γ2-0.1080
-0.36
γ31.2044
2.79***
γ4-1.8940
-3.08***
γ51.1652
1.87*
γ6-0.1409
-0.32
γ7-0.2052
-1.26
γ80.1884
1.36

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

898 days