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Hongmian Zhihui Science And Technology Innovation Co Ltd Guangzhou Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

204.25

decreased by 26.40

1 Week

244.80

increased by 14.15

1 Month

246.15

increased by 15.50

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hongmian Zhihui Science And Technology Innovation Co Ltd Guangzhou ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1034 trading days (~4.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0631
3.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2526
18.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7467
55.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.2634
-1.06
γ2-0.3288
-0.43
γ32.2471
1.19
γ4-2.3617
-1.12
γ5-0.8091
-0.62
γ63.9337
2.07**
γ7-3.8614
-1.85*
γ81.9432
1.65*
γ9-0.8875
-1.62

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1034 days