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Hongmian Zhihui Science And Technology Innovation Co Ltd Guangzhou ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

264.57

decreased by 31.76

1 Week

312.22

increased by 15.89

1 Month

312.17

increased by 15.84

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Hongmian Zhihui Science And Technology Innovation Co Ltd Guangzhou ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 149 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2831
2.16**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7452
199.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0659
-0.25
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.2831
3.09***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9966
1,071.58***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

149 days