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Hongmian Zhihui Science And Technology Innovation Co Ltd Guangzhou Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

479.02

increased by 203.26

1 Week

300.94

increased by 25.18

1 Month

270.76

decreased by 5.00

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hongmian Zhihui Science And Technology Innovation Co Ltd Guangzhou ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 185% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1037
9.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8007
169.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1913
10.30***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-