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Hongmian Zhihui Science And Technology Innovation Co Ltd Guangzhou Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

210.10

decreased by 11.17

1 Week

214.24

decreased by 7.03

1 Month

268.19

increased by 46.92

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hongmian Zhihui Science And Technology Innovation Co Ltd Guangzhou ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 1993 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 185% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1036
9.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8006
169.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1916
10.31***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-