V-Lab
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
12,908.59
decreased by 866.27
1 Week
12,013.29
decreased by 1,761.57
1 Month
10,277.63
decreased by 3,497.23
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 6, 2015 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 135 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~135 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2306 | 4.82*** |
| αARCH | 0.1136 | 7.66*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8812 | 56.75*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0029 | -0.19 |
0.995
Persistence135d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2306 | 4.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1136 | 7.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8812 | 56.75*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0029 | -0.19 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
135 days
Other Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities