Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026
1 Day
14,436.68
decreased by 214.45
1 Week
13,658.54
decreased by 992.59
1 Month
14,727.83
increased by 76.70
Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 09:03 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 6, 2015 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 136 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~136 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2325 | 4.84*** |
| αARCH | 0.1131 | 7.72*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8818 | 57.49*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0011 | -0.08 |
0.995
Persistence136d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2325 | 4.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1131 | 7.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8818 | 57.49*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0011 | -0.08 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
136 days
Other Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities