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Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

14,949.48

increased by 727.33

1 Week

12,757.16

decreased by 1,464.99

1 Month

12,069.67

decreased by 2,152.48

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/28/2024

to

09/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 6, 2015 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 136 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~136 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2322
4.83***
αARCH0.1134
7.67***
βGARCH0.8815
56.99***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0017
-0.12

0.995

Persistence

136d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2322
4.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1134
7.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8815
56.99***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0017
-0.12

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

136 days