V-Lab
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
10,429.37
increased by 919.06
1 Week
9,961.51
increased by 451.20
1 Month
10,340.91
increased by 830.60
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 6, 2015 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 135 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2284 | 4.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1141 | 7.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8808 | 56.43*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0043 | -0.27 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
135 days
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