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Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

12,908.59

decreased by 866.27

1 Week

12,013.29

decreased by 1,761.57

1 Month

10,277.63

decreased by 3,497.23

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 6, 2015 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 135 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~135 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2306
4.82***
αARCH0.1136
7.66***
βGARCH0.8812
56.75***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0029
-0.19

0.995

Persistence

135d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2306
4.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1136
7.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8812
56.75***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0029
-0.19

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

135 days