V-Lab
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
11,495.87
decreased by 636.08
1 Week
10,764.10
decreased by 1,367.85
1 Month
8,783.96
decreased by 3,347.99
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 06:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 6, 2015 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 136 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2256 | 4.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1144 | 7.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8805 | 56.16*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0056 | -0.34 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
136 days
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