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Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

14,436.68

decreased by 214.45

1 Week

13,658.54

decreased by 992.59

1 Month

14,727.83

increased by 76.70

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 09:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/06/2024

to

11/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 6, 2015 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 136 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~136 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2325
4.84***
αARCH0.1131
7.72***
βGARCH0.8818
57.49***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0011
-0.08

0.995

Persistence

136d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2325
4.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1131
7.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8818
57.49***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0011
-0.08

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

136 days