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Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

10,429.37

increased by 919.06

1 Week

9,961.51

increased by 451.20

1 Month

10,340.91

increased by 830.60

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 6, 2015 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 135 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2284
4.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1141
7.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8808
56.43***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0043
-0.27

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

135 days