Guizhou Qianyuan Power Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026
1 Day
68.87
increased by 14.58
1 Week
60.97
increased by 6.68
1 Month
77.99
increased by 23.70
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 3, 2005 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.7759 | |
| αARCH | 0.2406 | |
| βGARCH | 0.7594 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -2.1137 | |
| γ2 | 5.5808 | |
| γ3 | -11.2243 | |
| γ4 | 24.5189 | |
| γ5 | -34.1758 | |
| γ6 | 21.2015 | |
| γ7 | 1.4857 | |
| γ8 | -12.3027 | |
| γ9 | 13.0385 | |
| γ10 | -9.7564 |
1.000
Persistence-
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7759 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2406 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7594 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -2.1137 | |
| γ2 | 5.5808 | |
| γ3 | -11.2243 | |
| γ4 | 24.5189 | |
| γ5 | -34.1758 | |
| γ6 | 21.2015 | |
| γ7 | 1.4857 | |
| γ8 | -12.3027 | |
| γ9 | 13.0385 | |
| γ10 | -9.7564 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
Other Guizhou Qianyuan Power Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities