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Guizhou Qianyuan Power Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026

1 Day

68.87

increased by 14.58

1 Week

60.97

increased by 6.68

1 Month

77.99

increased by 23.70

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/10/2024

to

11/10/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guizhou Qianyuan Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 3, 2005 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7759
αARCH0.2406
βGARCH0.7594
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-2.1137
γ25.5808
γ3-11.2243
γ424.5189
γ5-34.1758
γ621.2015
γ71.4857
γ8-12.3027
γ913.0385
γ10-9.7564

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7759
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2406
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7594
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-2.1137
γ25.5808
γ3-11.2243
γ424.5189
γ5-34.1758
γ621.2015
γ71.4857
γ8-12.3027
γ913.0385
γ10-9.7564

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-