Tongda Group Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
290,064.80
1 Week
373,919.02
1 Month
314,344.63
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 2000 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2570 | 3.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7973 | 161.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2570 | -5.56*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0101 | 5.48*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.04 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9925 | 1,318.06*** |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
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