V-Lab
Tongda Group Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
576,053.10
1 Week
314,908.75
1 Month
386,652.40
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2576 | 9.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7988 | 150.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1351 | -3.28*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.06 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9963 | 5,504.24*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
62 days
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