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Tongda Group Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

345,478.10

decreased by 78,284.00

1 Week

535,022.62

increased by 111,260.52

1 Month

428,627.48

increased by 4,865.38

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 04:52 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tongda Group Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 26, 2000 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2584
9.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7982
149.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1354
-3.28***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.06
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9963
5,474.12***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days