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Turkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari AS ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

5.47

increased by 0.28

1 Week

4.96

decreased by 0.23

1 Month

5.63

increased by 0.44

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 02:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari AS ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1994 to Sep 4, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow81
αARCH0.1348
13.01***
βGARCH0.8533
83.41***
γleverage-0.1348
-8.16***
λ₁tau intercept0.0058
0.90
λ₂forecast adj.0.0497
8.12***
λ₃tau persistence0.9456
139.12***

0.921

Persistence

8d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1348
13.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8533
83.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1348
-8.16***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0058
0.90
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0497
8.12***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9456
139.12***

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days