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Rizhao Port Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

78.76

decreased by 23.42

1 Week

95.15

decreased by 7.03

1 Month

129.67

increased by 27.49

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:40 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Rizhao Port Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 17, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 46% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.3695
25.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2212
12.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7280
87.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1016
6.29***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days