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Balco Group Ab (Publ) Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026

1 Day

107,544.00

increased by 999.20

1 Week

111,619.48

increased by 5,074.68

1 Month

138,551.58

increased by 32,006.78

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/10/2024

to

11/10/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Balco Group Ab (Publ) ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 2017 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 37 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9084
6.04***
αARCH0.0993
6.19***
βGARCH0.8823
43.04***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0391
3.72***

0.982

Persistence

37d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9084
6.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0993
6.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8823
43.04***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0391
3.72***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

37 days