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V-Lab

Balco Group Ab (Publ) Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

96,679.88

increased by 8,439.22

1 Week

93,052.92

increased by 4,812.26

1 Month

106,591.60

increased by 18,350.94

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Balco Group Ab (Publ) ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 39 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9464
6.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0971
6.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8851
43.23***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0425
3.64***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days