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Balco Group Ab (Publ) Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

191,995.40

decreased by 6,271.00

1 Week

166,802.80

decreased by 31,463.60

1 Month

145,105.27

decreased by 53,161.13

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Balco Group Ab (Publ) ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 2017 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 38 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9222
6.08***
αARCH0.0981
6.17***
βGARCH0.8838
43.46***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0415
3.88***

0.982

Persistence

38d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9222
6.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0981
6.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8838
43.46***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0415
3.88***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days