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V-Lab

Balco Group Ab (Publ) Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

104,283.70

decreased by 5,877.80

1 Week

115,681.20

increased by 5,519.70

1 Month

188,049.28

increased by 77,887.78

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Balco Group Ab (Publ) ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 40 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9589
6.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0932
6.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8897
44.70***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0458
3.77***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days