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Balco Group Ab (Publ) Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

202,374.30

increased by 47,450.80

1 Week

149,737.04

decreased by 5,186.46

1 Month

109,956.12

decreased by 44,967.38

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Balco Group Ab (Publ) ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 2017 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 39 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9412
6.09***
αARCH0.0981
6.10***
βGARCH0.8841
43.13***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0417
3.74***

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9412
6.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0981
6.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8841
43.13***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0417
3.74***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days