V-Lab
GFI Co Ltd/Korea Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
64.20
increased by 0.35
1 Week
66.31
increased by 2.46
1 Month
61.33
decreased by 2.52
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 33-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.6138 | 2.15** |
| αARCH | 0.1196 | 1.50 |
| βGARCH | 0.8583 | 19.44*** |
| γleverage | 0.0029 | 0.03 |
0.979
Persistence33d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6138 | 2.15** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1196 | 1.50 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8583 | 19.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0029 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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