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GFI Co Ltd/Korea Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

264.59

decreased by 25.58

1 Week

287.20

decreased by 2.97

1 Month

258.41

decreased by 31.76

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of GFI Co Ltd/Korea ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 76 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0788
7.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1122
5.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8732
78.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0110
0.39

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

76 days