V-Lab
GFI Co Ltd/Korea Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
264.59
decreased by 25.58
1 Week
287.20
decreased by 2.97
1 Month
258.41
decreased by 31.76
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 76 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.0788 | 7.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1122 | 5.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8732 | 78.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0110 | 0.39 |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
76 days
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