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ZhongYeDa Electric Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
317.03
1 Week
394.20
1 Month
313.67
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2010 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 43 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 43 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2910 | 20.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7079 | 56.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0301 | -1.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.3332 | 0.70 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9957 | 52.26*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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