V-Lab
Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
1,993.77
increased by 44.23
1 Week
1,950.01
increased by 0.47
1 Month
1,651.31
decreased by 298.23
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 01:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.24 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1084 | 4.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8980 | 103.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0127 | -0.44 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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