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Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

2,600.07

decreased by 190.28

1 Week

3,015.94

increased by 225.59

1 Month

3,412.02

increased by 621.67

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.95
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1080
17.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8981
415.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0122
-1.68*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days