V-Lab
Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
1,718.59
increased by 124.35
1 Week
1,663.78
increased by 69.54
1 Month
2,367.01
increased by 772.77
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.96 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1084 | 17.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8979 | 414.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0126 | -1.73* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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