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Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

3,170.05

increased by 38.84

1 Week

3,132.28

increased by 1.07

1 Month

2,413.11

decreased by 718.10

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 01:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 1994 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4755
2.48**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2467
7.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7224
30.18***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.0549
-4.01***
γ20.0818
4.10***
γ3-0.0436
-2.89***
γ40.0400
1.83*

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days