Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
2,601.28
decreased by 212.06
1 Week
3,263.70
increased by 450.36
1 Month
4,041.10
increased by 1,227.76
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 21 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4678 | 2.49** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2468 | 7.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7210 | 29.83*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.0552 | -4.01*** |
| γ2 | 0.0823 | 4.10*** |
| γ3 | -0.0444 | -2.93*** |
| γ4 | 0.0438 | 1.92* |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
Other Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities