V-Lab
Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
3,170.05
increased by 38.84
1 Week
3,132.28
increased by 1.07
1 Month
2,413.11
decreased by 718.10
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 01:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4755 | 2.48** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2467 | 7.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7224 | 30.18*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.0549 | -4.01*** |
| γ2 | 0.0818 | 4.10*** |
| γ3 | -0.0436 | -2.89*** |
| γ4 | 0.0400 | 1.83* |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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