V-Lab
K-Auction Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
103.63
1 Week
138.14
1 Month
119.78
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 24, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3205 | 1.32 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6851 | 44.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1130 | -0.24 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.0452 | 1.55 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4215 | 1.18 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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