How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	21
αARCH	0.2836	11.57***
βGARCH	0.7218	29.21***
γleverage	-0.1494	-6.01***
λ₁tau intercept	6.7827	4.62***
λ₂forecast adj.	0.3653	2.48**
λ₃tau persistence	0.0000	0.00

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	21
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2836	11.57***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7218	29.21***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.1494	-6.01***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	6.7827	4.62***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.3653	2.48**
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0000	0.00

V-Lab

K-Auction Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other K-Auction Co Ltd Analyses