V-Lab
& Do Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
75.04
1 Week
80.07
1 Month
102.10
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 11:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 25, 2015 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1034 | 9.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8416 | 50.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1034 | -8.16*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.2012 | 2.18** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5644 | 15.25*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3893 | 10.43*** |
Persistence:
0.893
Half-life:
6 days
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