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Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

457,958.30

decreased by 18.70

1 Week

449,717.38

decreased by 8,259.62

1 Month

360,577.30

decreased by 97,399.70

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2013 to Aug 20, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 532 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0745
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3123
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6864
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-66.0941
γ2204.0161
γ3-215.2037
γ475.7511
γ5414.2126
γ6-2,532.6804
γ75,615.6381
γ8-5,799.3201
γ92,880.9468
γ10-629.4034

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

532 days