V-Lab
Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026
1 Day
882.18
increased by 836.68
1 Week
492.85
increased by 447.35
1 Month
215.43
increased by 169.93
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2013 to Aug 6, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.4805 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6124 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3517 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 2.1917 | |
| γ2 | -6.0530 | |
| γ3 | 19.3798 | |
| γ4 | -62.1739 | |
| γ5 | 526.1330 | |
| γ6 | -2,660.9030 | |
| γ7 | 5,626.2520 | |
| γ8 | -5,534.4880 | |
| γ9 | 2,376.6520 | |
| γ10 | -343.7464 |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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