V-Lab
Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
457,958.30
decreased by 18.70
1 Week
449,717.38
decreased by 8,259.62
1 Month
360,577.30
decreased by 97,399.70
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2013 to Aug 20, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 532 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0745 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3123 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6864 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -66.0941 | |
| γ2 | 204.0161 | |
| γ3 | -215.2037 | |
| γ4 | 75.7511 | |
| γ5 | 414.2126 | |
| γ6 | -2,532.6804 | |
| γ7 | 5,615.6381 | |
| γ8 | -5,799.3201 | |
| γ9 | 2,880.9468 | |
| γ10 | -629.4034 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
532 days
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