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Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, October 4th, 2026

1 Day

515.52

increased by 513.92

1 Week

143.10

increased by 141.50

1 Month

69.11

increased by 67.51

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2013 to Oct 1, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 136 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~136 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst65.3603
αARCH0.2998
βGARCH0.6952
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ19.5516
γ2-57.5037
γ3140.3893
γ4-199.7905
γ5474.8686
γ6-2,254.0998
γ75,393.2996
γ8-6,201.1043
γ93,726.7874
γ10-1,746.5127

0.995

Persistence

136d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

65.3603
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2998
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6952
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ19.5516
γ2-57.5037
γ3140.3893
γ4-199.7905
γ5474.8686
γ6-2,254.0998
γ75,393.2996
γ8-6,201.1043
γ93,726.7874
γ10-1,746.5127

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

136 days