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Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, October 25th, 2026

1 Day

333.01

increased by 118.03

1 Week

201.92

decreased by 13.06

1 Month

103.91

decreased by 111.07

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2013 to Oct 22, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 273 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~273 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst6.6937
αARCH0.2118
βGARCH0.7857
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.8366
γ2-1.8649
γ3-1.1570
γ4-18.7343
γ5319.5812
γ6-2,127.2562
γ75,385.4516
γ8-6,393.3859
γ93,868.6802
γ10-1,618.9104

0.997

Persistence

273d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.6937
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2118
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7857
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.8366
γ2-1.8649
γ3-1.1570
γ4-18.7343
γ5319.5812
γ6-2,127.2562
γ75,385.4516
γ8-6,393.3859
γ93,868.6802
γ10-1,618.9104

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

273 days