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Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, November 15th, 2026

1 Day

172.84

increased by 125.46

1 Week

83.11

increased by 35.73

1 Month

1,006.77

increased by 959.39

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/12/2024

to

11/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tycoon Holding Co for Financial Investments ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2013 to Nov 12, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1359 trading days (~5.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1359 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst13.7021
3.28***
αARCH0.3324
27.17***
βGARCH0.6671
55.26***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.3872
0.08
γ2-0.3773
-0.06
γ3-1.7081
-0.36
γ4-1.0105
-0.18
γ557.5796
11.18***
γ6-462.8500
-63.28***
γ71,292.2400
178.37***
γ8-1,700.9382
-204.89***
γ91,217.0256
108.39***
γ10-702.9087
-9.47***

0.999

Persistence

1359d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.7021
3.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3324
27.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6671
55.26***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.3872
0.08
γ2-0.3773
-0.06
γ3-1.7081
-0.36
γ4-1.0105
-0.18
γ557.5796
11.18***
γ6-462.8500
-63.28***
γ71,292.2400
178.37***
γ8-1,700.9382
-204.89***
γ91,217.0256
108.39***
γ10-702.9087
-9.47***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1359 days