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V-Lab

Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

54,132.05

decreased by 1,371.52

1 Week

69,785.91

increased by 14,282.34

1 Month

60,289.37

increased by 4,785.80

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1838 trading days (~7.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3167
2.42**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2169
10.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7827
38.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.0104
0.10
γ2-1.0833
-5.18***
γ33.1028
7.98***
γ4-4.2545
-7.08***
γ51.5504
1.52
γ62.9632
1.55
γ7-0.6168
-0.32
γ8-5.1971
-1.75*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1838 days