V-Lab
Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
54,132.05
decreased by 1,371.52
1 Week
69,785.91
increased by 14,282.34
1 Month
60,289.37
increased by 4,785.80
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 28, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1838 trading days (~7.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3167 | 2.42** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2169 | 10.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7827 | 38.05*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 0.0104 | 0.10 |
| γ2 | -1.0833 | -5.18*** |
| γ3 | 3.1028 | 7.98*** |
| γ4 | -4.2545 | -7.08*** |
| γ5 | 1.5504 | 1.52 |
| γ6 | 2.9632 | 1.55 |
| γ7 | -0.6168 | -0.32 |
| γ8 | -5.1971 | -1.75* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1838 days
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