Skip to main content
V-Lab

Beijing Sifang Automation Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

44.30

decreased by 2.64

1 Week

44.61

decreased by 2.33

1 Month

30.76

decreased by 16.18

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Beijing Sifang Automation Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 2011 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 21004 trading days (~83.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8960
2.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2544
14.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7456
41.06***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0198
-1.98**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

21004 days