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Beijing Sifang Automation Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

32.45

decreased by 4.56

1 Week

36.67

decreased by 0.34

1 Month

30.46

decreased by 6.55

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Beijing Sifang Automation Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 2011 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 101 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~101 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2889
6.07***
αARCH0.1535
11.46***
βGARCH0.8397
63.30***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0244
-3.58***

0.993

Persistence

101d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2889
6.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1535
11.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8397
63.30***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0244
-3.58***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

101 days