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Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

315.40

increased by 85.89

1 Week

221.15

decreased by 8.36

1 Month

262.07

increased by 32.56

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2014 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1586 trading days (~6.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 41% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2040
13.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7535
47.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0842
5.25***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
2.92***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8768
5.02***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1232
0.73

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1586 days