Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
438.33
1 Week
334.01
1 Month
362.59
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2014 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1575 trading days (~6.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2072 | 1.17 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7485 | 160.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0877 | 0.25 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.67* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8650 | 2.04** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1350 | 0.31 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1575 days
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