V-Lab
Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
215.34
1 Week
312.08
1 Month
395.98
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 08:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1564 trading days (~6.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2066 | 1.15 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7507 | 160.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0844 | 0.24 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.66* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8738 | 2.03** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1262 | 0.29 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1564 days
Other Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities