V-Lab
Telcon Rf Pharmaceutical Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
315.40
1 Week
221.15
1 Month
262.07
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2014 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1586 trading days (~6.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 41% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2040 | 13.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7535 | 47.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0842 | 5.25*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.92*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8768 | 5.02*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1232 | 0.73 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1586 days
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