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Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

3,503.45

decreased by 398.99

1 Week

3,721.87

decreased by 180.57

1 Month

2,768.17

decreased by 1,134.27

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2001 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 283 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 108% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~283 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 108% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.6888
2.94***
αARCH0.0891
5.34***
βGARCH0.8604
111.84***
γleverage0.0962
3.72***

0.998

Persistence

283d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6888
2.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0891
5.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8604
111.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0962
3.72***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

283 days