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Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

2,602.10

decreased by 254.28

1 Week

2,674.63

decreased by 181.75

1 Month

3,141.61

increased by 285.23

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2001 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 270 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 109% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~270 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 109% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.7045
2.96***
αARCH0.0888
5.34***
βGARCH0.8605
111.92***
γleverage0.0964
3.73***

0.997

Persistence

270d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7045
2.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0888
5.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8605
111.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0964
3.73***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

270 days