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Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

2,493.41

increased by 594.25

1 Week

1,720.39

decreased by 178.77

1 Month

1,508.30

decreased by 390.86

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2001 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 249 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 109% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~249 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 109% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.7171
2.97***
αARCH0.0883
5.31***
βGARCH0.8610
111.97***
γleverage0.0960
3.70***

0.997

Persistence

249d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7171
2.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0883
5.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8610
111.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0960
3.70***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

249 days