V-Lab
Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
1,583.20
increased by 105.41
1 Week
1,519.75
increased by 41.96
1 Month
1,459.16
decreased by 18.63
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:50 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 10, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 253 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 108% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.7167 | 11.86*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0887 | 21.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8608 | 446.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0955 | 14.62*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
253 days
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