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Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026

1 Day

3,044.37

increased by 208.70

1 Week

3,065.91

increased by 230.24

1 Month

2,869.12

increased by 33.45

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/10/2024

to

11/10/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2001 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 272 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 109% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~272 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 109% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.6949
2.95***
αARCH0.0886
5.33***
βGARCH0.8607
112.20***
γleverage0.0964
3.74***

0.997

Persistence

272d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6949
2.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0886
5.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8607
112.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0964
3.74***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

272 days