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Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

1,583.20

increased by 105.41

1 Week

1,519.75

increased by 41.96

1 Month

1,459.16

decreased by 18.63

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:50 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 253 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 108% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7167
11.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0887
21.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8608
446.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0955
14.62***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

253 days