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Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

1,273.97

decreased by 46.50

1 Week

1,393.47

increased by 73.00

1 Month

1,641.96

increased by 321.49

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:52 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 248 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 108% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7325
11.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0888
21.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8606
444.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0957
14.62***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

248 days