V-Lab
Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
1,273.97
decreased by 46.50
1 Week
1,393.47
increased by 73.00
1 Month
1,641.96
increased by 321.49
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:52 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 10, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 248 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 108% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.7325 | 11.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0888 | 21.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8606 | 444.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0957 | 14.62*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
248 days
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