V-Lab
Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
3,503.45
decreased by 398.99
1 Week
3,721.87
decreased by 180.57
1 Month
2,768.17
decreased by 1,134.27
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 10, 2001 to Sep 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 283 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 108% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~283 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 108% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.6888 | 2.94*** |
| αARCH | 0.0891 | 5.34*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8604 | 111.84*** |
| γleverage | 0.0962 | 3.72*** |
0.998
Persistence283d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6888 | 2.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0891 | 5.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8604 | 111.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0962 | 3.72*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
283 days
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