V-Lab
Apex Biotechnology Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
1,717.44
1 Week
1,594.93
1 Month
1,576.02
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:51 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 10, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1552 | 1.08 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7936 | 91.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1552 | -0.51 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.7204 | 2.78*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3335 | 4.41*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6665 | 2.89*** |
Persistence:
0.871
Half-life:
5 days
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