V-Lab
Smo Clinplus Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
167.20
1 Week
147.44
1 Month
160.08
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 17, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0530 | 1.06 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9213 | 308.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0530 | -0.63 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.5073 | 1.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5384 | 2.28** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3825 | 1.55 |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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