Smo Clinplus Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
147.11
1 Week
153.19
1 Month
162.33
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 17, 2022 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0631 | 6.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9237 | 181.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0089 | -0.71 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9992 | 256.60*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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