Smo Clinplus Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
280.85
decreased by 15.72
1 Week
268.06
decreased by 28.51
1 Month
225.18
decreased by 71.39
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 02:32 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 17, 2022 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 39-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.3595 | 1.31 |
| αARCH | 0.0188 | 0.81 |
| βGARCH | 0.9264 | 64.66*** |
| γleverage | 0.0747 | 1.75* |
0.982
Persistence39d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.3595 | 1.31 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0188 | 0.81 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9264 | 64.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0747 | 1.75* |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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