V-Lab
Nichiwa Sangyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
7,103.88
1 Week
6,849.57
1 Month
5,917.32
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1316 | 0.13 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7778 | 64.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1316 | -0.06 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0656 | 0.13 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9344 | 35.45*** |
Persistence:
0.844
Half-life:
4 days
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