How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	121
αARCH	0.1140	1.11
βGARCH	0.6813	6.14***
γleverage	-0.1140	-0.60
λ₁tau intercept	10.0000	0.02
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0767	3.06***
λ₃tau persistence	0.9233	52.66***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	121
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1140	1.11
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.6813	6.14***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.1140	-0.60
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	0.02
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0767	3.06***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9233	52.66***

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Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Co Ltd Analyses