V-Lab
Huadian Power International Corp Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
29.78
decreased by 7.14
1 Week
35.44
decreased by 1.48
1 Month
34.41
decreased by 2.51
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:59 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 3, 2005 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138629 trading days (~550.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0418 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2526 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7474 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -0.5552 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | 0.1532 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | 0.7786 | 0.00 |
| γ4 | -0.4002 | 0.00 |
| γ5 | -0.0554 | 0.00 |
| γ6 | 0.1407 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
138629 days
Other Huadian Power International Corp Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities