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V-Lab

Mekdam Holding Group W.L.L Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 30th, 2026

1 Day

84,281.11

decreased by 11,404.76

1 Week

75,181.10

decreased by 20,504.77

1 Month

41,530.85

decreased by 54,155.02

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Mekdam Holding Group W.L.L ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 7, 2021 to Aug 27, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2458 trading days (~9.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2945
2.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1666
4.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8331
23.08***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2117
-0.55

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2458 days