V-Lab
Mekdam Holding Group W.L.L Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 30th, 2026
1 Day
84,281.11
decreased by 11,404.76
1 Week
75,181.10
decreased by 20,504.77
1 Month
41,530.85
decreased by 54,155.02
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 7, 2021 to Aug 27, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2458 trading days (~9.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2945 | 2.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1666 | 4.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8331 | 23.08*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2117 | -0.55 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2458 days
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