V-Lab
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
23.23
1 Week
18.38
1 Month
18.15
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 28, 2011 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 43 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 43 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3598 | 8.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6374 | 106.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0265 | -0.32 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.6746 | 16.58*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9930 | 905.21*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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