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V-Lab

Fangzhou Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

281,316.30

increased by 15,878.60

1 Week

264,297.28

decreased by 1,140.42

1 Month

198,259.59

decreased by 67,178.11

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fangzhou Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 9, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 327 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1277
0.31
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9340
220.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1277
-0.35
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0001
0.37
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1022
0.37
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.3788
1.17

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

327 days