V-Lab
Fangzhou Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
235,496.80
1 Week
264,897.92
1 Month
329,609.29
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 9, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1393 | 3.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8916 | 67.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1393 | -2.83*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 4.02*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9647 | 296.12*** |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
18 days
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