V-Lab
CECEP Wind-Power Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
34.13
1 Week
33.51
1 Month
34.62
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 29, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1210 | 1.38 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8145 | 35.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1210 | -0.69 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4849 | 1.52 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6218 | 1.99** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3711 | 4.58*** |
Persistence:
0.875
Half-life:
5 days
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