V-Lab
CECEP Wind-Power Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
39.96
1 Week
35.77
1 Month
36.51
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 29, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1210 | 1.39 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8152 | 36.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1210 | -0.69 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5011 | 1.52 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6297 | 2.00** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3630 | 4.54*** |
Persistence:
0.876
Half-life:
5 days
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