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V-Lab

CECEP Wind-Power Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

26.87

decreased by 0.19

1 Week

28.65

increased by 1.59

1 Month

27.77

increased by 0.71

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CECEP Wind-Power Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 29, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1320
7.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2376
10.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6450
30.22***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.2333
4.39***
γ2-0.5162
-6.63***
γ30.5773
12.17***
γ4-0.6668
-10.58***

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days