V-Lab
CECEP Wind-Power Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
36.02
increased by 17.90
1 Week
27.05
increased by 8.93
1 Month
31.00
increased by 12.88
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 29, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1326 | 7.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2378 | 10.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6408 | 29.33*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 0.2430 | 4.55*** |
| γ2 | -0.5331 | -6.82*** |
| γ3 | 0.5894 | 12.52*** |
| γ4 | -0.6713 | -10.93*** |
Persistence:
0.879
Half-life:
5 days
Other CECEP Wind-Power Corp Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities