V-Lab
CECEP Wind-Power Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
26.87
decreased by 0.19
1 Week
28.65
increased by 1.59
1 Month
27.77
increased by 0.71
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 29, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1320 | 7.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2376 | 10.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6450 | 30.22*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 0.2333 | 4.39*** |
| γ2 | -0.5162 | -6.63*** |
| γ3 | 0.5773 | 12.17*** |
| γ4 | -0.6668 | -10.58*** |
Persistence:
0.883
Half-life:
6 days
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