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Chongqing Zhixin Industrial Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
532.07
1 Week
308.74
1 Month
377.69
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 16% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.7487 | 131.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0327 | 19.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1165 | 8.64*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.73* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0623 | 8.22*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9377 | 36.60*** |
Persistence:
0.840
Half-life:
4 days
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