V-Lab
Chongqing Zhixin Industrial Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
500.51
decreased by 22.53
1 Week
474.00
decreased by 49.04
1 Month
455.17
decreased by 67.87
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8873 | 5.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2234 | 2.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5045 | 2.71*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -5.3010 | -1.47 |
Persistence:
0.728
Half-life:
2 days
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