V-Lab
Chongqing Zhixin Industrial Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
405.63
decreased by 18.26
1 Week
356.78
decreased by 67.11
1 Month
424.49
increased by 0.60
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8943 | 5.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2766 | 3.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4632 | 2.67*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -6.4613 | -1.80* |
Persistence:
0.740
Half-life:
2 days
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