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V-Lab

Guangdong Shaoneng Group Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

98.05

decreased by 11.70

1 Week

96.35

decreased by 13.40

1 Month

80.11

decreased by 29.64

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangdong Shaoneng Group ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 158% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
14.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1329
19.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7624
137.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2094
13.19***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-