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V-Lab

Guangdong Shaoneng Group Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

108.85

increased by 40.92

1 Week

85.42

increased by 17.49

1 Month

133.64

increased by 65.71

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangdong Shaoneng Group ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 158% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
13.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1325
18.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7629
137.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2093
13.24***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-